Baseball parlay

Baseball parlay

January 27th MLB news ... Welcome to Baseball parlay, the place with all of the baseball odds and betting information.

Welcome to Baseball parlay, the place with all of the baseball odds and betting information.

This site was created to give the baseball bettor everything he needs to successfully handicap a baseball game. Whether you need information on how a particular pitcher fares in day games or simply the latest lines, this is the place for all that information and more.

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NLCS Game: Phillies facing elimination, Giants look to advance
2010-10-21

Sportsbook.com Phillies vs. Giants Betting Odds: Philadelphia -123, San Francisco +113 Total: 5.5

Coming into the year, Roy Halladay (21-10, 2.44 ERA) had never pitched in a postseason game. Thursday he starts the biggest game of his career as the Phillies try to stave off elimination and send the series back to Philadelphia. Tim Lincecum (16-10, 3.43 ERA) goes for San Francisco in what becomes a rematch of Game 1, a 4-3 Giants victory.

San Francisco tagged Halladay for four runs on eight hits, including two home runs in the series opener. The loss dropped Halladay to 0-3 lifetime against San Francisco. His ERA against the Giants now stands at 6.66 and his WHIP is a hefty 1.48. It was Halladay’s first loss since August 30, breaking up a streak of six consecutive wins. The right-hander pitched well on the road this year, going 10-5 with a 2.57 ERA. With the total posted at just 5.5, it’s interesting to note that only one of Halladay’s last seven starts have gone under the total (five over, one push).

Lincecum comes into the matchup after picking up the win in Game 1, giving up three runs on six hits over seven innings. He allowed two home runs for just the second time this year. With the win, Lincecum is now 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA over his last three starts. Including the postseason, he is 10-7 with a 3.40 ERA at home this year. The Game 1 victory improved his career record against Philadelphia to 3-1. His ERA in those starts in 3.09 with a WHIP of 1.03.

If you are a believer in MLB betting trends there are plenty that favor San Francisco tonight, including:

Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts. (112-87 over the last 5 seasons.) (56.3%, +55.3 units. Rating = 3*).

Play On - Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL. (172-99 since 1997.) (63.5%, +77.4 units. Rating = 3*).

With the most generous dime lines in the industry, it is no wonder Everybody Bets on baseball at Sportsbook.com.




MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 6/4-6/6
2010-06-04

There’s no interleague action on this weekend’s baseball schedule but that certainly doesn’t mean there isn’t any intriguing matchups to watch for. In fact, in anything, this might be one of the best weekend slates we’ve seen this season. Several compelling matchups are on tap, including a continuing set between the league’s hottest teams, the Braves and Dodgers. Also in the Senior Circuit, the surprising Padres will take the trek cross country to the East coast for a 7-game road trip starting in Philadelphia vs. Roy Halladay. There’s also a great A.L. East series between New York and Toronto, as well as matchups between leaders of that and the Central Division with the co-leaders of the A.L. West. Let’s take a look at those series’ and reveal this weekend’s list of Top StatFox Power Trends to consider.

As mentioned just earlier, the league’s two hottest clubs, the Braves and Dodgers, are getting together for a four-game set out in Los Angeles. Clearly the Celtics-Lakers NBA Finals’ series isn’t the only game in town. After winning the series opener on Thursday night, the Braves have won nine straight games. Since April 30th, they are 24-8. The Dodgers haven’t been a whole lot worse, going just a game worse, at 23-9. Atlanta leads the N.L. East by 3-games over Philadelphia while Los Angeles remains 1-1/2-games back of San Diego in the West. Of course, the Braves are just 13-16 on the road, and should be tested the next three days by L.A.’s 18-9 home mark. Elsewhere in the National League, the two teams closest to the Dodgers and Braves meet, when San Diego visits Philadelphia. The Phillies’ offensive struggles have been well documented, as they have scored just 14 runs, including getting shutout five times, in their current 2-9 swoon. It won’t get much easier vs. the Padres, who are allowing just 3.3 runs per game and a .230 opponent batting average this season.

In the American League, Toronto has a chance to gain ground on the wildcard spot when it hosts the Yankees. The Jays have stayed in the hunt by clubbing home runs at a record pace. They have hit 91 in 55 games, putting them on a season-long pace for 268. By comparison, the Yankees, more well known for the big bats in their lineup, have hit just 61. Still, Toronto trails New York by 3-1/2-games right now and needs a series win to close the gap. In Texas, another intriguing series is set, as the Rays visit. As you’ll see from the powerful trend below, the Rangers may be in a good spot to beat up on Tampa’s incredible pitching staff this weekend. Texas is currently tied atop the West with Oakland, who happens to be hosting the Central-leading Twins over the next three days. Minnesota has lost three straight games for the third time in the last 17 days, mustering just three total runs during the skid in Seattle. The A’s haven’t done anything remarkably well, yet are on a 9-4 surge that has got them back to even in the standings with the Rangers.

Again, this looks to be a very exciting weekend on the diamond, as if this past few days weren’t noteworthy enough. Let’s take a look at a Top StatFox Power Trend from each series that you might want to account for in your wagering.

<b><i>SAN DIEGO at PHILADELPHIA</b></i>

<li>PHILADELPHIA is 77-46 (+28.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.1, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>CINCINNATI at WASHINGTON</b></i>

<li>WASHINGTON is 14-50 (-29.4 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 3.8, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>SAN FRANCISCO at PITTSBURGH</b></i>

<li>PITTSBURGH is 40-24 UNDER (+13.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 2.9, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>FLORIDA at NY METS</b></i>

<li>GONZALEZ is 63-53 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents as the manager of FLORIDA. The average score was FLORIDA 5.2, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>CHICAGO CUBS at HOUSTON</b></i>

<li>CHICAGO CUBS are 4-17 (-20.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 2.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 6*)

<b><i>MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS</b></i>

<li>MILWAUKEE is 26-11 OVER (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.4, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>COLORADO at ARIZONA</b></i>

<li>ARIZONA is 17-3 OVER (+13.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was ARIZONA 5.9, OPPONENT 6.9 - (Rating = 4*)

<b><i>ATLANTA at LA DODGERS</b></i>

<li>LA DODGERS are 37-19 UNDER (+14.8 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was LA DODGERS 3.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>NY YANKEES at TORONTO</b></i>

<li>GASTON is 45-33 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TORONTO. The average score was TORONTO 4.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)

<b><i>BOSTON at BALTIMORE</b></i>

<li>BOSTON is 3-10 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 4.5, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>TAMPA BAY at TEXAS</b></i>

<li>TEXAS is 14-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 6.2, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 3*)

<b><i>CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX</b></i>

<li>CHI WHITE SOX are 30-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.5, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>DETROIT at KANSAS CITY</b></i>

<li>KANSAS CITY is 16-3 OVER (+12.9 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was KANSAS CITY 5.9, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 3*)

<b><i>MINNESOTA at OAKLAND</b></i>

<li>OAKLAND is 16-5 UNDER (+10.1 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OAKLAND 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>LA ANGELS at SEATTLE</b></i>

<li>LA ANGELS are 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. The average score was LA ANGELS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)


MLB: Phillies and Dodgers NLCS Betting Preview
2009-10-16

The 2009 National League Championship Series is a rematch of the 2008 version, and for this year, it is the Dodgers that are expected to avenge their loss and bring the pennant back to Los Angeles. They are a -120 series favorite at Sportsbook.com. Of course, there are also numerous other team, player, game & series betting options to consider. Read on for a preview of the NLCS then head on over to the LIVE ODDS page to examine all the available wagering opportunities.

The Los Angeles Dodgers were dismissed in five games by the eventual World Series champion Philadelphia Phillies last October and believe they have advantages 12 months later in their favor. Though the Dodgers lack a true No.1 ace, manager Joe Torre is confident he can matchup with the Phillies better by mixing and matching to situations and still have added depth to turn to a pitcher that was a starter during the regular season if his chosen starter struggles early.

In last year’s NLCS, Los Angeles started five right-hand pitchers. Expect to see lefties Clayton Kershaw and Randy Wolf in the first four games as starting pitchers to hopefully combat Philly sluggers Ryan Howard and Chase Utley. Torre is still contemplating who the other starters will be, but rest assured he will put Los Angeles in the best position to win the series based on his history.

On offense, a year’s experience should be invaluable to L.A. Last year they were loose in sweeping the Cubs, but everyone but Manny Ramirez puckered up once the next round came about. Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp are the two most likely keys for the Dodgers offense; however the bottom of the order can also play an important role and Torre likes the experience from players like Casey Blake to deliver.

This is the Dodgers eighth NLCS and first back-to-back in 31 years. Ironically, exactly half of their appearances in this round of the postseason have been against Philadelphia.

The Phillies are looking to make a historical statement with visions of becoming the first NL team to win back-to-back World Series since the 1975-76 Cincinnati Reds. Philadelphia in fact is the first National League team to make consecutive appearances in the NLCS since Atlanta in 1995-96. It’s hard to fathom the Phillies will shutdown like St. Louis did against the Dodgers in the first round, since they led the league in home runs, scoring and most extra bases hits. The quartet of Raul Ibanez, Jayson Werth, Howard and Utley were the first group of Phillies to hit 30 or more home runs in a season.

Look for Cole Hamels to be the Game 1 starter. Though the lefty has not been nearly as effective as last season, he’s rested and loves pitching at Dodger Stadium. In three starts in L.A., Hamels has pitched 23 innings, allowing three runs on 15 hits, striking out 17 and walking just five batters. In his career he is 4-0 with a 1.64 ERA facing Los Angeles hitters.

Expect manager Charley Manuel to save Cliff Lee for Game 3 at home, which gives him ample rest and also makes him available for Game 7 on normal rest if needed. Manuel will piece together the rest of rotation and expect Chan Ho Park to be added to the bullpen.

Based on the body of work, the Dodgers have distinct edge in the bullpen. Jonathan Broxton and George Sherrill have been lights out for opposing teams for six weeks. Though Brad Lidge picked up two saves in the NLDS, it was out of necessity, not desire. The skipper Manuel had used up all other options in both situations and played the percentages in utilizing Lidge and escaped both times. Has last season’s most dominant closer regained enough confidence to be called upon again? Only Manuel knows with fingers crossed inside his pockets.

Offensive – National League
Runs scored Dodgers 4th Philadelphia 1st
Home Runs Dodgers 11th Philadelphia 1st
Slugging Ptc. Dodgers 7th Philadelphia 1st
Walks Dodgers 4th Philadelphia 7th
On base Ptc. Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 8th

Pitching & Defense
ERA Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 5th
Bullpen ERA Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 9th
Strikeouts Dodgers 2nd Philadelphia 9th
Walks Dodgers 8th Philadelphia 2nd
On base Ptc. Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 7th
Putouts Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 4th
Errors Dodgers 4th Philadelphia 2nd

Key Numbers- The Dodgers won the season series 4-3 and are 9-5 at home against the Phillies and 4-8 in the City of Brotherly Love the last three years. Los Angeles is among the best teams in baseball at home with 52-31 record and is 71-47 against RH starters. Torre’s club was only average in games decided by three or less runs with 59-51 record. Though playing in a weak division, the Dodgers are 20-6 vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs a game on the season. The Phillies were tied with the Angels for the best road record during the regular season at 48-33 and picked up two more wins in Colorado. Conventional wisdom has the Phillies being stymied against left-hand pitching; however a deep and versatile lineup is 29-16 against port-siders. The Phils have been much better in closer contests with a 56-41 record with games decided by three or less runs.

Sportsbook.com Series Odds: Dodgers -120, Phillies Even


MLB: Top MLB Weekend Betting Trends 6/5-6/7
2009-06-08

This weekend’s baseball action will feature two different series’ among the six divisional leaders as the Dodgers host the Phillies in the National League and the Rangers visit Boston in the American League. Elsewhere, two surging playoff contenders will go head-to-head when defending A.L. Champion Rays head to New York to take on the Yankees. These matchups are all part of a full first June weekend of baseball. Read on as we look at those series’ and a few more, plus deliver our weekly feature highlighting some of the Top StatFox Power Trends for you to consider on your betting tickets over the next few days.

This is an unusual weekend in the junior circuit, as it seems that most of the best teams will be playing one another, while all of the sub-.500 clubs will be looking to improve their records against their own counterparts. The only series that matches a winning club vs. a losing club is in Toronto, where the Royals will be taking on the Jays. In Detroit, the division leading Tigers host the Angels, who are finally showing some signs of breaking out. The Halos are on a 3-1 run in which they’ve 27 runs. Detroit still maintains a 2-1/2 game lead in the Central Division despite being swept by Boston.

Meanwhile, in New York, the Rays visit brand new Yankees Stadium for the second time, hoping to duplicate the two wins they had a month ago. They have won five of six games to finally reach .500 again and are showing signs of what made them the league champs last year. However, New York is playing very well itself, having reached 10-games over .500 for the second time in 2009. Finally, in Boston, the Rangers and Red Sox will get together for a 3-game set. Boston has had its way with Texas of late winning 15 of the last 20 games overall and nine of 11 at Fenway Park.

In the National League, the big series pits the Phillies and Dodgers in a rematch of the 2008 Championship Series. Los Angeles has been the league’s best team all season long despite losing Manny Ramirez to the 50-game suspension last month. Still, they are catching the Phillies at the wrong time, as Philadelphia has won seven straight games, including the series opener between the teams on Thursday night. For the Dodgers, it was just their seventh loss at home this season against 20 wins, a set that has produced 10.1 units of profit for bettors. Elsewhere, the Cubs & Reds meet in the Queen City in a series of teams trying to keep up with the leaders in the Central Division, Milwaukee and St. Louis. Both Cincinnati and Chicago are playing plus-.500 baseball this year but neither seems to be able to put a long enough stretch together to make a run at the division lead.

Stay tuned to the Game Matchups page all weekend long for the info you need to make this a profitable weekend in baseball. In the meantime though, take a look at these top StatFox Power Trends that could affect the weekend wagering.

NY METS at WASHINGTON
* WASHINGTON is 6-23 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was WASHINGTON 4.9, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 2*)

CHICAGO CUBS at CINCINNATI
* PINIELLA is 52-33 UNDER (+14.4 Units) in road games against division opponents as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

SAN FRANCISCO at FLORIDA
* FLORIDA is 20-8 (+16.5 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 4.7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 3*)

MILWAUKEE at ATLANTA
* ATLANTA is 10-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The average score was ATLANTA 6.6, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 3*)

PITTSBURGH at HOUSTON
* PITTSBURGH is 36-19 OVER (+15.8 Units) as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 2*)

COLORADO at ST LOUIS
* COLORADO is 20-50 (-32.2 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 4.1, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 3*)

ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO
* SAN DIEGO is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN DIEGO 2.6, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 1*)

PHILADELPHIA at LA DODGERS
* PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 6.0, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)

LA ANGELS at DETROIT
* LA ANGELS are 46-27 (+20.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)

TAMPA BAY at NY YANKEES
* NY YANKEES are 52-29 UNDER (+18.8 Units) vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 4.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)

TEXAS at BOSTON
* BOSTON is 18-3 (+14.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was BOSTON 6.0, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*)

KANSAS CITY at TORONTO
* TORONTO is 15-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 4.0, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)

CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX
* CHI WHITE SOX are 31-59 (-26.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 3.9, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 1*)

BALTIMORE at OAKLAND
* BALTIMORE is 32-18 OVER (+13.8 Units) in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BALTIMORE 4.6, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 1*)

MINNESOTA at SEATTLE
* MINNESOTA is 13-28 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 4.7, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 1*)



MLB: Special Edition Pennant Chase Top Power Trends
2008-09-26

The final weekend of regular season baseball is upon us, and barring any rainouts or one-game playoff contests on Monday, 22 of the league’s 30 teams will wrap the 2008 campaign on Sunday. However, the other eight will move on to bigger and better things, with the postseason slated to open on Wednesday, October 1st. Before we can set the playoff matchups however, there are a few races left to be decided this weekend, including the N.L. East, the N.L. Wildcard, and the A.L. Central. Here’s a look at the series’ involving those contending teams plus a special edition Top Baseball Weekend Power Trends focusing on the action that will decide which teams move on.

With rain threatening the status of the key series’ in Philadelphia and New York, mother nature could play a huge role in which of the three National League teams battling for the two remaining playoff spots make it. The Phillies host the lowly Nationals this weekend and go into the set with a 1-game lead over New York for the N.L. East Division lead. Their lead on Milwaukee is also 1-game, so Philadelphia at least has something to fall back on should they not wind up as divisional champs. The Mets are also at home, welcoming Florida to town. The Brewers meanwhile, host N.L. Central champ Chicago, who has already clinched the best record in the National League.

The Phillies come into the weekend series having lost their last two games. However, the Nats are just 1-6 in their last seven, so there’s no need for panic in Philly. In this head-to-head series this season, the Phillies hold a 9-6 edge but the games in Philadelphia have been split 3-3. Ironically, Charlie Manuel’s team clinched its 2007 divisional title on the last weekend against Washington as well. Besides the motivation of spoiling things for a divisional rival, the Nationals hope to avoid their first 100-loss season since 1976. They come into this series with 99-losses, so only a sweep will avoid that dubious feat.

The Mets also square off against the same team they did to close out the ’07 season, the Marlins. Florida has the same intentions as a year ago too, ruining the season for New York. The Marlins themselves fell out of contention for the wildcard this week by losign four straight games. However, over the course of their last eight outings, Florida has outhit its opponents 99-64, so they are playing well and capable of coming up big. In this head-to-head series this year, the Mets have taken nine of 16 games.

Milwaukee hosts its biggest rival in its biggest series in 26 years. The Brewers have struggled against the Cubs of late losing six of the last seven head-to-head meetings, including a 4-game sweep at Miller Park at the end of July. The Cubs, who helped the Brewers’ cause this week by beating New York in two of four games now look to turn the tables and damage their divisional mate’s playoff hopes.

In the American League Central Division, the White Sox will hope to pick up the pieces from the 3-game sweep in Minnesota when they host Cleveland this weekend. The Sox go into the 3-game set trailing the Twins by ½ game. However, barring any letdown, Minnesota has an easier matchup on paper, hosting Kansas City. The Indians, who have lost three straight since winning a season high seven games in a row, are looking to finish their season strong. At 79-80, a two-out-of-three series will give Cleveland a .500 finish. However, Chicago has swept Cleveland in two separate series’ at U.S. Cellular Field this year. The Royals, who aren’t accustomed to playing in pennant race influencing games, could prove a dangerous foes themselves, as they are red-hot of late, having won 11 of their last 13 games. Keep an eye on the fact that 18 of the last 23 contests between K.C. and Minnesota at the Metrodome have gone UNDER the total.

Now, here’s a look at each of the key series’ from a StatFox Power Trend perspective.

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA
Top Rated ML Trends
* WASHINGTON is 2-18 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 2.8, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 2*)
* WASHINGTON is 3-18 (-14.8 Units) against the money line with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 4.1, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 3*)
Top Rated Total Trends
* PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 UNDER (+14.9 Units) after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.1, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)
* MANUEL is 82-65 OVER (+13.5 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)

FLORIDA at NY METS
Top Rated ML Trends
* FLORIDA is 14-8 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 2*)
* NY METS are 18-24 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.5, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Top Rated Total Trends
* NY METS are 23-11 OVER (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY METS 5.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
* FLORIDA is 39-22 OVER (+16.7 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.
The average score was FLORIDA 5.1, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)

CHICAGO CUBS at MILWAUKEE
Top Rated ML Trends
* MILWAUKEE is 1-13 (-13.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 3.3, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 4*)
* MILWAUKEE is 22-5 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.7, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Top Rated Total Trends
* MILWAUKEE is 14-3 OVER (+10.9 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.4, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 3*)
* CHICAGO CUBS are 23-14 OVER (+8.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.8, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX
Top Rated ML Trends
* CHI WHITE SOX is 6-0 (+6.3 Units) against CLEVELAND at home this season
The average score in these games was CHI WHITE SOX 5, CLEVELAND 3
* CLEVELAND is 4-19 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 4.0, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
Top Rated Total Trends
* CHI WHITE SOX are 21-6 OVER (+15.0 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more this season.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 7.5, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 3*)
* WEDGE is 29-13 OVER (+15.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games as the manager of CLEVELAND.
The average score was CLEVELAND 4.9, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)

KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA
Top Rated ML Trends
* MINNESOTA is 37-17 (+19.2 Units) against the money line vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)
* KANSAS CITY is 14-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 4.4, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*)
Top Rated Total Trends
* KANSAS CITY is 33-16 UNDER (+15.1 Units) vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.8, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 2*)
* 18 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+12.2 Units)
The average score in these games was MINNESOTA 4, KANSAS CITY 3



Wagering on Hot MLB Team Trends
2008-07-24

Baseball is a game of streaks, being played out over a schedule of 162 games, and bettors are often at the mercy of these fads. There are currently several teams streaking in various directions. Be sure to take stock of these patterns before unloading your next wager on Thursdays board.

A major league team can have runs of eight games playing over the total, facing the fifth starter from the opposing team, and be shut down offensively like a garage door. Other times, little moments occur that set off wild sparks. The Los Angeles Dodgers held the lead for a total of two innings of the 29 they played against Arizona over the past weekend and it was enough to take two of three against the D-Backs. The euphoria carried over in scoring 19 runs the next game at Colorado, followed by; you guessed it, one run in game two of the series. Here is a look at current streaks from various MLB clubs.

The Detroit Tigers were supposed to have the most prolific lineup in all of major league baseball this season. Maybe it was the pressure of expectations, or having to keep scoring runs with pitchers allowing runs faster than the price of a barrel of gas was going up in the spring. Whatever the reason, the Tigers were lamer than Madonna’s latest CD. With the advent of increasingly warmer weather and a return to health of all key components in the batting order, Detroit is starting to mash. Since July 8, these smashing Tigers are averaging seven runs per game, sending fear into opposing starters. Over this run, oddsmakers have been attempting to adjust on the run, with Tigers roaring, playing 8-5 OVER the number. In reviewing their games, the biggest reason they have any contests fall below total is Jim Leyland’s bunch receives decent starting pitching every so often.

The Milwaukee Brewers are another squad that has been hot with lumber. Manager Ned Yost has been waiting all season for consistency with offense and has moved up to tied for sixth in the National League in runs scored with latest surge. With Ben Sheets and C.C. Sabathia at the top of the rotation, Milwaukee has closed on the Cubs and is 8-4 OVER in last 12 outings.

The Atlanta Braves must feel like they are living in a torn tepee on the road, with 17-33 record, losing -18.2 units. The biggest culprit for this lack of success has been a spotty offense in the traveling grays. Atlanta hitters average a mere 3.8 runs per game on the road. While this isn’t breathtaking news based on the season, the Braves are 8-4 UNDER in last 12 road games, keeping season long play intact. Here’s an eye-popper, the Bravos are 0-13 in 2008 in one run games on the road and are on streak of 0-19 in this circumstance dating back to August 10, last season. In fact, they are 1-23 in last 24 road ballgames decided by a single run. That’s a worse payout than a slot machine on Vegas Strip.

The New York Yankees have been written off more times than a John McCain opt-ed piece sent to major newspapers. With the passing of the All-Star game and a hint of August pennant chase in the air, the Yankees are right back in the hunt, thanks to 11-game winning streak at home. The Bronx Bombers are hitting the horsehide with greater regularity; however it has been the pitching staff which has carried this club. In the 11 wins, Yanks pitchers have given a sick 18 runs, fueling this tear. Little surprise New York is 7-3-1 UNDER in these encounters.

The lowest scoring team in the American League is the Seattle Mariners at 3.9 runs per game and they are persistent in the mode they have set. Seattle scores 3.8 RPG at Safeco Field, 3.8 versus RH starters and 3.6 in day games. Where the Mariners just go overboard is on the road, were average catapults to 4.1 RPG. Since July 5, even the M’s are out-doing themselves. Seattle is a sorry mess at 3-11 and has scored a not so grand total of 24 runs in the losses. Not hard to comprehend, they would be 11-2-1 UNDER in this stretch.





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